scarletmorning: (Hayden and Fado Sepia)
scarletmorning ([personal profile] scarletmorning) wrote2011-06-06 10:36 pm

I am bugged

Triggered by my thinking about Uther and his childlessness I started thinking about an Ephraim-related phenomenon that I find... unbelievable. I didn't notice at first what bugged me about it, but now I know.

I find it incredibly unlikely that Ephraim'll be allowed to not marry.

(I know that there are people on my flist who support that theory or at least have written him that way. So I hope for a little discussion (and I hope no negative feelings arise from my questioning).)

So, end of war, we know that Ephraim and Eirika are the last of their family. Ephraim becomes king. What happens to Eirika is related but to that in a second. Because first; we all agree that he needs heirs, right? Since they are the last of their family, they have no cousins/uncles/aunts/etc. who could provide, which obviously means that either Ephraim or Eirika have to produce them.

Now, one argument is that Eirika can just provide the heirs, then Ephraim can stay single. That argument is flawed for several reasons (related to her marriage options):

1. Eirika marries Innes and goes to Frelia: her children will become Frelia´s heirs, not Renais. In an emergency they might become Renais´ heirs, BUT:
    - what would that mean to Renais´ independency? How easy would it be for Innes to influence his child in Renais and depending on the character of the child how would it act in negotiations with his parents? And following this theory: would the Renaitian nobles even allow that? Eirika may originally be from Renais, but that doesn't mean that they would accept the foreign heir. And if they're all against it, the Frelian child would have no chance. It would have to face a rebellion as soon as it ascends the throne.
    - what if they have only one living child? Then Renais would have no heir at all.
    - what if neither Eirika nor Innes (or at least one of them) are fertile and they have no children anyway?

2. Eirika marries Saleh: she's away and any children would grow up in Caer Pelyn.
    - would the nobles accept a child who was not raised to become king/queen and has no idea what it has to do? And more important; was not raised in Renais and is not used to its customs? Perhaps, but only because they might try to influence it.
    - what if they are both not fertile?
    - what if non of their children survive?
    - what if non of their children want to become heir? I can see them not forcing them to do it.

3. Eirika marries Seth: she stays in Renais and this one is actually (imo) the one pairing where it would be the most probable that her child becomes heir. But:
    - what if neither of them is fertile?
    - what if all their children die?

So, are the chances that those things happen, especially infertility, so small that it is worth risking it?

No. They are the last of their family. They have to do everything to ensure that they don't die out. And Ephraim can't put all responsibility on Eirika´s shoulders. It would not be possible that he never marries. He has to at least try to get heirs. This is not a question of wanting, but having to do (something). He's king. He has to do things he might not like but which are necessary. There is no choice involved.
So, Ephraim has to marry. It wouldn't have to do anything with love and if he finds a wife who understands this, there is no problem. Just find the daughter of the noble who has the best connections/most money/has things you need/is someone you need an alliance with and marry her. That easy. And advantageous.

Related to that: one child is not enough. I know that is more thinking of real life here, but; what if it dies? There's a plague, it has a stupid accident, whatever. Death can come quickly. There needs to be some security that at least one child lives long enough to marry itself and continue the line. Yes, real life example here and before the time FE is more or less located timewise, but bear with me; Charlemange. He had twelve children (at least) and five sons. Four of them should inherit his empire (the child of his first wife was excluded). Unfortunately in the end only one son lived long enough to be able to inherit the empire. Of course it is arguable if this could apply to Magvel at all, especially before the game happenings. But how does the situation after the war look like? Destruction and zombies everywhere. Perfect for sicknesses and illnesses to turn into pandemics. Shortage on food and money. Poverty. In such a time of unrest they shouldn't risk anything.

So, a king not having any children of his own: not believable in my opinion. I would need a very good explanation to believe it.

And for Uther: if people really believe the sickness his parents died of is hereditary then he should get many children as well. Hector doesn't seem to have the sickness so maybe at least one of Uther´s children might be spared as well. His sickness is, imo, an argument for children/marriage, not against it.

Which reminds me; marriage = alliance. Why would you want to waste the chance to forge such a firm alliance? Real life practice again: that was what daughters were for. Forging alliances (Being like hostages in a way). And it's not like the daughters were stupid and just send there to sit around and birth children. For the fathers marrying a daughter to an enemy to make peace meant having one of your own "men" behind the enemies lines. That could be highly practicable. (It still was no fun for the daughters, but, uhm, well it was like that, unfortunately and they couldn't do much against it) Which makes the whole "king/queen not marrying" even more unlikely.
And related to that; in the case of Eirika/Innes I personally think that Ephraim/Tana is highly unlikely. They already have one tie with Frelia. They shouldn't waste the opportunity; Ephraim should marry someone from the other countries. Grado would be a good option, I believe. Building friendly connections with them can only be to Ephraim´s and Grado´s advantage. Maybe the daughter of an influential noble.

so tl;dr I want a nice discussion about Ephraim´s single status because I find it improbable.
raphiael: (ephraim)

[personal profile] raphiael 2011-06-06 08:56 pm (UTC)(link)
Holding Magvel to pure historical standards makes very little sense, I think, just because, well, they fly in the face of standard practice. It would be pretty unusual for a sole heir to leave the country and marry another heir, but L'Arachel can marry Innes or Ephraim. So we can't say "history says ___ can't happen", really.

There's also the fact that Eirika and Ephraim could very easily be treated as equal rulers. There's nothing saying they aren't, really. If Eirika marries within Renais and begets heirs, then, well, there you go. There's no absolute need for Ephraim to do the same, and in theory, it could result in all sorts of heir dispute shenanigans. He might even prefer not to have children and let Eirika's bloodline take over. (Eirika, also, could easily do the same.)

And finally. . . Ephraim doesn't seem to care what people think of him. He cares about Renais surviving, and being the ideal king - and it could even be that he considers courtship and fatherhood an unnecessary distraction to that. If he decided something like that? No one would talk him out of it.

I can't see him not marrying and begetting heirs if Eirika went with Innes. If she went with any of her other options, though - even Saleh - I think it's possible.

I'm not going to say EPHRAIM CAN'T EVER MARRY - he sure can. But it's also extremely plausible that he might not - and the same goes for Eirika.

[identity profile] crimsonmorgan.livejournal.com 2011-06-06 09:22 pm (UTC)(link)
I know, but somehow I can find links sometimes and sometimes it makes sense and sometimes not. I don't think I can express this well, but my brain automatically comes up with ways how it can work and I try to incorporate some things that work.

Yeah, but what if non of her children survive? What would he do then? Just shrug and say "Oh my. My family has died out, someone else has to take over". Wouldn't that be a sign of a bad king?
That's what inheritance laws are for.

But how can he be an ideal king without heirs? (If we assume for a moment that Eirika´s kids can't inherit) His kingdom would be "lost" to him. How can he make sure someone worthy continues his work? How can a king with seemingly no forethought or ignores the possibility that something might go wrong be ideal? Of course, Ephraim could still believe that but his logic would be obviously faulty.

Yeah, they might. I just find it highly illogical in their situation and a waste of opportunities ;P

[identity profile] crimsonmorgan.livejournal.com 2011-06-06 09:55 pm (UTC)(link)
Wow, that Sebastianism is exactly the same myth that I know about Friedrich Barbarossa XD

But as far as it looks like they had heirs up in their sleeves. Which Ephraim hasn't (yet).

[identity profile] mark-asphodel.livejournal.com 2011-06-06 10:02 pm (UTC)(link)
Edward had no heirs of his bloodline. And Sebastian's heir ended up being his uncle.

So, if Eirika/Saleh have their daughter, already Eph's in a better position.

[identity profile] crimsonmorgan.livejournal.com 2011-06-06 10:08 pm (UTC)(link)
As soon as Eirika has a child, yes. I'm more hung up on the part where they haven't any children yet and bemoan the absence of foresight. In their situation.
Maybe I'm too pragmatic to see it from another perspective >:/

[identity profile] mark-asphodel.livejournal.com 2011-06-07 03:45 am (UTC)(link)
Maybe I'm too pragmatic to see it from another perspective >:/

I agree with you that it's short-sighted of Ephraim to not tend to that particular detail. But I also played Shadow Dragon thinking everyone involved was nuts for allowing the Last Hope of Humanity to go skipping off to war without having an heir or two of his own stashed away somewhere on Talys, so pretty clearly my idea of sensible contingency planning doesn't line up with that of Intelligent Systems.
raphiael: (Default)

[personal profile] raphiael 2011-06-06 09:30 pm (UTC)(link)
Faulty logic and lack of foresight are pretty canon for Ephraim, though XD

I find it more likely that Eirika would have lots of children in this (very specific) situation (and canonically, she is fertile) than having Ephraim marry, really.

As for the ideal king thing? That could be taken as either the perfect well-rounded king - fantastic father, loving husband, amazing ruler - or the black and white AWESOME AT SPECIFICALLY KINGLY THINGS way at the expense of everything else.
Personally, I think Ephraim leans more toward the latter.

[identity profile] crimsonmorgan.livejournal.com 2011-06-06 09:45 pm (UTC)(link)
That's true XD

But only with Saleh, right? I can't remember if any other supports of her mention children. And it would be enough if Innes or Seth aren't fertile anymore. Of course, if this works Ephraim might be inclined to not marry and I guess they could organize everything.

Roflmao, Ephraim would tend to the latter. However, I can't see Eirika not telling him that he's doing it wrong. And in my interpretation of Ephraim he would listen, look at it form all sides and understand that getting heirs might be a kingly duty as well.
raphiael: (Default)

[personal profile] raphiael 2011-06-06 09:47 pm (UTC)(link)
Innes, IIRC, fathers a child with Vanessa, so it would only be Seth who could possibly not get Eirika pregnant.

Eh, to each his own. All I'm saying is it's definitely possible, and not really extraordinarily unlikely :3

[identity profile] crimsonmorgan.livejournal.com 2011-06-06 09:57 pm (UTC)(link)
Oh, that's true! Though with Innes there is of course the problematic with Frelian heirs...

Oh, I do think that Ephraim might be stubborn enough to get his way... only that in my opinion it's stupid of him. :3

[identity profile] mark-asphodel.livejournal.com 2011-06-07 03:40 am (UTC)(link)
Eirika's joint ending with Tana also mentions each of them having children.

IIRC, none of Ephraim's endings mention children. It may be significant.

look at it form all sides and understand that getting heirs might be a kingly duty as well.

Let's play Devil's Advocate-- is it at all possible, given what played out in Grado-- plus the number of possible royal/commoner hookups postwar-- that there might be a reduced emphasis on bloodline kingship, leading more to "elected" kings or adopted heirs or something else that doesn't leave massive power in the hands of frail and unstable biological heirs?

There's another means of getting around the heir issue, anyway.

[identity profile] crimsonmorgan.livejournal.com 2011-06-07 07:53 am (UTC)(link)
I completely forgot that she has a joined ending with Tana as well!

Hmhm, that could be and is intriguing.

It might. (Personally I believe that Crimea has a "selected family becomes royal" system.) Though I believe such a huge change would take quite some time and if they don't watch out it might destabilize Renais more (prospective "heir" competing with each other).

Damn it, all this talk makes me crave post-war fic with all those shenanigans.